Market Signals

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Market Signals

House price growth Australia: why a decade of doubling is a fragile bet

New modelling projects hundreds of suburbs doubling by 2036. The maths leans on past trends, and the next decade looks structurally different.
Market Signals

Property sentiment index flips negative as rates bite

A NAB survey of property professionals now sees house prices sliding 4.2% over a year, and the constraint has moved from supply to borrowing costs.
Market Signals

Regional NSW property growth: scarcity or thin volumes?

Some unexpected towns have posted double-digit gains, but a rise on few sales can mislead investors chasing the trend.
Market Signals

Home sales down 20.9 per cent: price data is the last to know

Sales are down about a fifth, yet values have only slipped for six months. The gap between the two may be hiding the real damage.
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Market Signals

Property developers Queensland WA push ahead as east coast stalls

Three-quarters of Queensland developers plan to break ground within six months. Victoria sits at 28%. The gap is widening, and the reasons go deeper than sentiment.
Market Signals

Queensland rental vacancy rates tick up in half the state, but 29 regions still under 1%

Two dozen Queensland rental markets loosened over the June quarter, yet nearly 60% of regions remain critically tight. Here's where the breathing room appeared, and where investors still face zero wiggle room.
Market Signals

Million dollar suburbs: 151 new entries map where affordability migrates next

Queensland, WA and SA claimed two-thirds of the 151 suburbs that crossed seven figures in the first half of 2024, while Melbourne added just one.
Market Signals

Apartment approvals hit 48,778 but construction costs stall starts

Building sign-offs rose 13% year-on-year, yet industry groups warn most won't break ground. The gap between approval and delivery is widening.
Market Signals

Rochedale apartments fast-tracked as owner-occupiers chase space

A Brisbane developer has pulled forward stage two of its first apartment project in an outer suburb where 76% of buyers are owner-occupiers, not investors.
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Market Signals

Downsizing property market stalls as retirees pull 5.5 million homes off the table

One in three over-55s are delaying sales, choosing reverse mortgages over auction risk, and the supply impact is starting to show.
Market Signals

Sydney prestige property rental pivot reveals incomplete price correction

Owners who won't meet the market are pulling back to rent trophy homes for up to $30,000 a week, delaying the adjustment needed to clear supply.
Market Signals

Investor activity auction market shows tentative recovery after tax reform slump

Investor buyer share at auction dropped to a 2026 low of 20.7% after May's budget, then climbed back to 23.2% by mid-July. The question now: is this a genuine rebound or just noise?
Market Signals

Mortgage applications down 26% as rates and tax changes bite

Loan lodgements have fallen sharply since February, with investors pulling back hardest. The question now is whether this marks a turning point or just a pause.
Market Signals

Housing market outlook slashed to flat as tax shock accelerates slowdown

National prices now forecast to go nowhere in 2026 as Budget tax changes hit harder and faster than expected.
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Market Signals

Sydney overvalued suburbs face $250,000 price correction risk

Price gaps up to $250,000 have opened between similar neighbourhoods. The question: genuine mispricing or structural factors that won't reverse?
Policy Watch

Negative Gearing New Builds Could Crowd Out First-Home Buyers

Investor demand is shifting towards new homes, but the tax incentive designed to lift supply could squeeze first-home buyers first.
Market Signals

Foreign Property Tax Deductions Hide a Bigger Issue

Offshore owners are claiming substantial Australian rental deductions, but the headline numbers leave a critical policy question unanswered.
Market Signals

Regional Property Markets Are Holding Up. But Not Everywhere

Capital city prices are easing, but regional markets are still showing strength. The catch is knowing which signals matter.

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