Market Signals

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House price growth Australia: why a decade of doubling is a fragile bet

New modelling projects hundreds of suburbs doubling by 2036. The maths leans on past trends, and the next decade looks structurally different.

Property sentiment index flips negative as rates bite

A NAB survey of property professionals now sees house prices sliding 4.2% over a year, and the constraint has moved from supply to borrowing costs.

Regional NSW property growth: scarcity or thin volumes?

Some unexpected towns have posted double-digit gains, but a rise on few sales can mislead investors chasing the trend.

Home sales down 20.9 per cent: price data is the last to know

Sales are down about a fifth, yet values have only slipped for six months. The gap between the two may be hiding the real damage.

Bank branch closures hand brokers 81.6% of new home loans

The big five have shed almost half their branches since 2017, and brokers are now writing four in five new loans. Who gains, and who gets left behind?

NSW first home buyers apartments now dominate Sydney’s west

House purchases fell sharply in NSW last quarter while units and vacant land gained. Tax and affordability pressure may be changing what a first home is.

Negative equity Australia faces as another rate rise nears

A tipped November hike and a forecast peak-to-trough fall above 10 per cent raise a question the headline price numbers do not answer.

Perth property prices: is waiting for the bottom really a gamble?

Values are 6% below their April peak and half of houses sell under asking. A buyer's agent says don't wait, but rents and borrowing limits complicate that call.

First-home buyers waiting for lower prices: a self-reinforcing loop

Three in four first-home buyers want prices to fall further before they act. The risk is that the waiting itself keeps prices soft and stores up demand.
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Queensland apartment developers construction costs face an Olympic squeeze

A wave of public infrastructure work is heading for the same builders and trades that private apartment projects rely on.

Investor loans are not vanishing, they are moving to new builds

New-home investor lending rose 24% while overall investor loans fell 9%. The shift could ease supply, but renters feel the gap first.

Farmland Investment Australia: What Dalio’s $300m Sale Signals

A reported $300m farms deal says foreign capital still wants Australian farmland. The harder question is what that means for yields, and for housing.

High-end home prices falling faster as the market splits by price tier

Upper-quartile values in Sydney and Melbourne are more than 10% below peak. Cheaper homes are holding up, but for how long?

First home buyer loan demand falls 22.1pc as budget tax shift backfires

Three months of falling applications suggest tax changes aimed at helping first-timers are being swamped by rates, debt and living costs. Who is actually getting in?
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Australian auction clearance rates sit below 50pc again

A second straight week under half is a rare reading. The question is whether it signals more price falls or just a pause.

Investor pullback: why selling at a profit can hurt renters

Investment fell nine per cent in the June quarter, yet 93 per cent of sellers still made money. Renters may pay for it.

Falling property prices, rising stock: why homes aren’t selling

Values have slid six months running, yet listings are piling up. Who blinks first?

Melbourne rents hit a record, and some suburbs jumped double digits

Some sought-after Melbourne suburbs have posted double-digit rent rises in a year. The harder question is whether policy or supply is doing the pushing.

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