Market Signals

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Property market downturn hits 93% of Australian suburbs

Price falls now universal except Darwin, with buyers delaying purchases expecting 15-20% further declines.

Perth property prices soften in pockets as buyers hit serviceability ceiling

Early data shows small declines in select Perth suburbs while agents dispute the scale, a test case for what happens when credit tightens in a supply-starved market.

Queensland property market lending falls 5.9% as credit rationing outpaces price drops

Loan volumes down harder than values in June quarter. Is credit the real constraint, or will supply hold the floor?

Auction clearance rates fall to 52.4% as spring listings arrive

Clearance rates dropped for the third straight week while auction volumes jumped 16%. Either vendors are testing stale price expectations or buyers are about to return.

Melbourne property prices fall below 2020 levels as supply floods market

The median Melbourne home now sells for less than it did five years ago. Three rate hikes, state tax changes and record construction all played a part.

Rental vacancy rates hit 1.5% but investor tax changes threaten relief

Tenants got more choice in July as vacancy ticked up to its highest since early 2022, but the supply lift driven by investors is already under threat from budget changes.

Downsizer housing market stalls as falling prices lock family homes

When property values drop, empty-nesters hesitate to sell, and that bottleneck keeps three-bedroom homes off the market exactly when younger buyers need them most.

Home lending growth at regional lenders defies major bank slowdown

A Tasmanian-based lender grew its home loan book 5.8% while the Big Four saw applications drop up to 20%, so where's the volume coming from?

Forced property sales: who’s selling and what it means for prices

Divorce, job loss and mortgage stress are pushing owners to sell, but is this distress or just life happening?
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Melbourne unit auction clearance rates beat houses by 10%

Units are clearing at 62% while houses languish at 51%, but is this affordability-driven demand or investors chasing yield before the market turns further?

Shopping centre apartments: 25,000-unit pipeline faces planning reality check

A major retail landlord has flagged its mall sites for housing conversion. Whether the sites can deliver at scale depends on approvals, infrastructure, and viability, not just ambition.

Private credit construction finance: Bathla collapse exposes risk

A major developer's administration raises questions about how much exposure sits with non-bank lenders, and whether the market knows.

Property buyer timing risk: why waiting for rate cuts could backfire

Buyer numbers are down 30%, competition has vanished, and sellers are accepting conditions again. So why are buyers still sitting out?

Brisbane retail property: $883m mall stake sale signals shift

A major super fund just bought into one of Brisbane's largest shopping centres. The question isn't the price, it's what they see that others don't.
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Non-bank lender sale reveals broker-channel consolidation pressure

A commercial and residential property lender's move to test investor appetite exposes the tension between aggregator ownership and multi-channel distribution.

New home sales slide 3.7% as investors buy but owner-occupiers step back

Three straight months of falling sales despite record investor lending into new builds, so where are the owner-occupiers?

Housing stress threshold hits $130k in WA as rents outpace wages

Households earning six figures now face rental stress in Western Australia's tightest market in decades. What income actually works, and is your state next?

First home buyer loans rising as investors retreat: what’s driving it

New entrants are the only group still increasing loan applications while investor demand falls, but is this surge sustainable or a policy-driven sugar hit?

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