Market Signals

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Market Signals

House price growth Australia: why a decade of doubling is a fragile bet

New modelling projects hundreds of suburbs doubling by 2036. The maths leans on past trends, and the next decade looks structurally different.
Market Signals

Property sentiment index flips negative as rates bite

A NAB survey of property professionals now sees house prices sliding 4.2% over a year, and the constraint has moved from supply to borrowing costs.
Market Signals

Regional NSW property growth: scarcity or thin volumes?

Some unexpected towns have posted double-digit gains, but a rise on few sales can mislead investors chasing the trend.
Market Signals

Home sales down 20.9 per cent: price data is the last to know

Sales are down about a fifth, yet values have only slipped for six months. The gap between the two may be hiding the real damage.
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Market Signals

Borrowing capacity cuts break the price-demand loop

Prices are falling, vendors are negotiating, but buyers aren't biting, higher rates have removed the usual bounce-back mechanism.
Market Signals

Perth apartment defects expose boom-era construction risks

Prestige addresses now plagued by building faults. What it means for values and insurance across every hot market.
Market Signals

Housing affordability Australia: rate hikes lock out median earners

Median-income households can now afford just 12% of homes sold nationally, the lowest share on record, as three rate rises wiped $49,000 in borrowing power for couples.
Market Signals

Housing affordability Australia hits record low as rate hikes erase price falls

Typical-income households can now afford just 12% of homes sold, the worst on record, despite prices softening in some cities.
Market Signals

Construction industry supply decline deepens despite housing targets

Building approvals are running 8,000 short of the monthly target needed to close the national shortfall, and the gap is widening.
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Market Signals

Cash settlement property risk: Armaguard regulation and transaction exposure

RBA designates sole cash-in-transit operator as systemically important. What happens to settlements when the infrastructure fails?
Market Signals

Construction costs jump 2.1% as Iran war hits supply lines

Material prices posted their sharpest quarterly rise since late 2022, with copper up 25% over twelve months and builders warning clients mid-job.
Market Signals

Distressed property listings jump 60pc in ACT as stock floods market

Forced sales are climbing fastest where supply is rising hardest, but the discount opportunity isn't what it looks like.
Market Signals

Construction costs stall housing pipeline as approvals slide 3.6%

Building approvals fell in July, but the real constraint isn't planning, it's whether approved projects can still be built profitably.
Market Signals

First home buyer deposit data reveals stretched budgets and suburban drift

The typical entry deposit is $31,000, and take-up rates vary sharply by location. Are government schemes enabling access to middle-ring suburbs, or simply pushing buyers outward?
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Market Signals

Regional property demand hits $250bn as migration redraws market power

Transaction data shows regional Australia now accounts for 35% of national spending. The question is whether remote work and borrowing capacity can hold that line through a November rate rise.
Market Signals

Construction business closures hit decade high as 67,401 builders exit

Builder survival rates have crashed to 2012 lows. The housing target sits six years out, and 43,000 of the new firms starting now won't make it to 2029.
Market Signals

Development finance risk: falling asset values test lender recovery assumptions

Asset valuations dropping faster than expected in a major collapse case, exposing the gap between loan approval and real recovery.
Market Signals

Building approvals slip 3.6% as apartment pipeline masks house slowdown

July dwelling approvals fell below 18,000 for the first time in three months, but the trend line tells a different story.

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